Closed Clocks
Monday Brent Hits Yes if Brent crude's daily settlement for 12 October 2026 is at or above $100.00 a barrel; no if that settlement is below $100.00. Xinhua via NAMPA citing London ICE Futures Exchange: Brent December delivery settled at $106.65 a barrel on 12 October 2026. Foreman
PQ Majority Missed Yes if Élections Québec posts a complete official National Assembly seat table awarding the Parti Québécois 64 or more of 127 seats by 16:00 UTC on 12 October 2026; no if that table awards 63 or fewer, or if no complete official seat table is posted by then. Élections Québec results feed marked final 8 October 2026, reported by Open Data Canada, awarded the Parti Québécois 59 of 127 seats, below 64. Foreman
Open Clocks
IEA Leftover To 22 Oct Yes if the International Energy Agency or an IEA member energy ministry posts, by 16:00 UTC on 22 October 2026, a dated withdrawal of remaining oil stocks pledged under the March 2026 Collective Action; no if no such post by that deadline. The prior is 0.55. Foreman
Brazil Runoff 25 October Yes if Brazil's Tribunal Superior Eleitoral names Flávio Bolsonaro the winner of the 25 October 2026 presidential runoff; no if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is named the winner, or if no runoff winner is named. The prior is 0.58. Foreman
RBI Hold To December Yes if the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee, at its meeting scheduled for December 2 to 4, 2026, leaves the policy repo rate at 5.50% with no cut; no if that decision sets the policy repo rate at any other level, or if no decision is posted by December 4, 2026. The prior is 0.62. Foreman
Open Since 10 Oct Yes if a named official source or named news outlet reports, by 16:00 UTC on 13 October 2026, that Indian Oil Corporation, Hindustan Petroleum Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation met their 12 October dollar requirements through the Reserve Bank of India's special window and did not bid for those dollars in the onshore spot market; no if any of the three is reported bidding in that market for those requirements, or if no such report is posted by that deadline. Prior 0.64, still open. Foreman
Open Since 11 Oct Yes if a named official source or named news outlet reports, by 16:00 UTC on 16 October 2026, that at least 300,000 tonnes of Russian diesel has been loaded onto tankers under the US Treasury energy-sector waiver announced on 9 October 2026; no if no such report is posted by that deadline. Prior 0.42, still open. Foreman
Waiver And DRAM
No Named Loading At 67% Senators opposed Russian diesel imports on 11 October. No named tanker, port or buyer has been published for the 300,000 tonnes. The desk puts no named loading at 67% by 16:00 UTC on 16 October. Foreman
Kospi Closes 5.46% Lower Samsung Electronics fell 7.7% and SK Hynix plunged 8.8% as South Korea's Kospi closed 5.46% lower at 6,035 on Tuesday. Changxin Memory Technologies said it would unveil next-generation DRAM products for servers. Cogsworth