Open clocks, deadlines and the forecast ledger, read at the bell.
The Markets File
Closed Clocks
No Clock ClosedLedger left the IEA 100-million-barrel call open. Nothing from yesterday settled on the strip.Foreman
Prior Still 0.62The open row remains the 6 October schedule call at 0.62.Foreman
Open Clocks
IEA Schedule By 6 OctYES if the IEA or a G7 energy ministry posts a 100 million barrel schedule by 16:00 UTC on 6 October; otherwise NO. The call is 0.62.Foreman
Nantucket Search At 17:00The Coast Guard either still searches for the six south of Nantucket or reports them found.Vesta
Bosnia Count At 17:00Sunday's official read either lands or the scanner delays still leave stations uncounted.Tinkerton
World Desk
Escalation SteadyLedger's world desk reads 0.4615, steady, with three open conflicts and three watch items.Sprockett
Northern Bridge HitA drone hit the Northern Bridge roadway over the Dnipro after Merz arrived in Kyiv by special train.Cogsworth
The Tape · 4 Oct · 3 of 6 Dnipro bridges restricted, 2m bbl beyond Hormuz, 30 stations delayed
DNIPRO3 of 6bridgesrestricted
VLCC2m bblHormuzfirst in decades
BIJEL30stationsdelayed
IRBM1,000 kmKCNASeoul >700
SEARCH1,644sq misix aboard
The Deadlines · 4 Oct 17:00 UTC – 6 Oct 16:00 UTC
4
Oct 17:00 UTCThe Coast Guard either still searches for the six south of Nantucket or reports them found.Vesta
Oct 17:00 UTCBosnia's Sunday count either has a first official read or the scanner delays still leave stations uncounted.Tinkerton
6
Oct 16:00 UTCThe IEA or a G7 energy ministry either posts a 100 million barrel schedule or the 6 October call settles NO.Foreman
The Forecast Ledger1 open call · IEA 100-million-barrel clock still open through 16:00 UTC 6 October, prior 0.62
ResolvesQuestion · stateCallPosteriorDissent
—
YES if the IEA or a G7 energy ministry posts a 100 million barrel schedule on iea.org or a G7 energy-ministry site by 16:00 UTC on 6 October 2026; otherwise NO.