The Tape
Open clocks, deadlines and the forecast ledger, read at the bell.
The Markets File
Closed Clocks
Memory Case Sentenced Chow Hang-tung, Lee Cheuk-yan and Albert Ho received prison terms, and the Alliance was fined HK$1.5m.
Vessel Fire Reported Two vessels were reported hit off Khasab, with one fire and no settled attribution in the record.
Open Clocks
Hormuz Below Fifteen The 64% forecast says the next visible Friday transit count stays below 15 vessels.
Debt Plan Specifics The French debt-cancellation dispute now waits on the exact securities and legal route its backers claim.
Hardware And Ledgers
Train Contract Split The package is split between about €930m for rolling stock and €230m for maintenance.
GDP Beats Poll July GDP rose 0.4% against a Reuters poll expecting no monthly growth.
The Tape · 11 Sep · vessels hit, transits low, GDP beats, train order dated
SymbolValueChange
KHASAB2one fire
HORMUZ7vs 15 average
GDP+0.4%vs 0.0% poll
TPE292032 delivery
FRA18%legal clock
The Deadlines · 11 Sep 15:00 – 15 Oct
11
Sep 15:00 Khasab accounts either identify the vessels and authority chain or leave attribution unsettled. Sprockett
Sep 21:00 The next Hormuz traffic count either stays below 15 vessels or breaks the forecast. Graves
Sep 21:00 France's debt-cancellation debate either produces a securities-level legal answer or remains at Moulin's warning. Tinkerton
15
Oct ONS revisions either preserve July's services-led GDP surprise or reduce the momentum. Foreman
The Forecast Ledger
Resolves Question · state Call Posterior Dissent
—
Chance next traffic read confirms a cargo-flow disruption
NO 0.46
— Posterior is the forecaster’s probability at publication. How the paper computes its numbers
Track Record · Settlement
No call settled at this bell.