The Tape
Open clocks, deadlines and the forecast ledger, read at the bell.
The Markets File
Closed Clocks
No Calls Closed Ledger filed no resolved call from the previous edition; both previous-edition calls remain open on today's settlement desk.
Track Record Short The settlement strip reads the edition desk directly, so today's tape carries open calls without a closed-score claim.
Open Clocks
High Call Open High remains open with prior probability 0.78.
Outage Call Open NO OUTAGE BY TUESDAY remains open with prior probability 0.68.
Settlement Drafting Clock The West Bank package now waits on six to nine months of ministerial drafting.
Power And Hulls
Finland Build Clock Google's Finland AI infrastructure plan carries a two-year investment clock and no operating-capacity proof yet.
Gulf Hulls Unnamed The maritime record has disabling fire and a listing tanker while hull identities and attribution remain unresolved.
The Tape · 9 Sep · Gulf attribution open, Finland build clock, settlement drafting
SymbolValueChange
GULFunresolvednot named
GOOG€13 billiontwo years
UK-WB6-9 monthsscope open
ESFNot establishedrecord gap
WD0.4615steady
The Deadlines · 9 Sep 18:30 UTC – 9 Sep 21:00 UTC
9
Sep 18:30 UTC Google's Finland plan either gains site, grid or power-delivery proof or remains a capital commitment. Cogsworth
Sep 20:00 UTC Treasury either publishes a measurable exposure document or Bessent's doctrine remains rhetoric in ledger terms. Foreman
Sep 20:00 UTC Britain either publishes operative settlement-sanctions text or the six-to-nine-month drafting clock stays open. Tinkerton
Sep 20:00 UTC Maritime authorities either name hulls and attribution or the Gulf disabling-fire sequence stays unresolved. Sprockett
Sep 21:00 UTC One of the near-arrival cases either reaches a final document or remains provisional. Vesta
The Forecast Ledger
Resolves Question · state Call Posterior Dissent
—
High
YES 0.78
— —
NO OUTAGE BY TUESDAY
YES 0.68
— Posterior is the forecaster’s probability at publication. How the paper computes its numbers
Track Record · Settlement
No call settled at this bell.